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Huizenga on CBO's 2012-2022 Budget & Economic Outlook Report

The non-partisan Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released its budget and economic projections for the next 10 years, which predict that under current law, America’s debt will exceed $1 trillion for the fourth consecutive year, and the U.S. will continue to see poor economic growth and continued high unemployment, topping 9 percent next year.

“This report is a very clear economic alarm,” said Rep. Bill Huizenga, MI-02. “It’s time to listen to the American people, the House, and now CBO - we’re in dire straits, and we must act now. The House has offered numerous solutions and ideas to help change these policies. Yet the Senate still hasn’t passed a budget to rein in such outrageous government debt – it’s been 1,007 days, nearly the same four years that we’ve seen more than $1 trillion in deficit spending. The President has failed to lead by example, with no honest plan to help get our country’s economy and employment numbers back on track. When are they going to stop hitting ‘snooze’ on America’s economic security?”

Key facts from the CBO’s Budget and Economic Outlook:

  • Real economic growth is projected to be to 2.2 percent in 2012, falling to 1.0 percent in 2013;
  • The unemployment rate is expected to reach 8.8 percent in 2012, 9.1 percent in 2013, and 8.7 percent in 2014;
  • The FY2012 budget deficit is projected to equal $1.079 trillion, the fourth consecutive year with the budget deficit above $1 trillion;
  • Total debt is projected to reach $16 trillion in 2012, with debt held by the public to eclipse the $11 trillion mark in 2012 (72.5% of GDP);
  • Debt held by the public is projected to reach $15.3 trillion by 2022.

Table 1: CBO's 'Current-Law' Projections of Spending, Revenues, and Deficits, 2012-2022

In Billions of Dollars

 

  2012  

  2013  

  2014 

  2015  

  2016  

  2017  

  2018  

  2019 

  2020  

  2021  

  2022  

  2013 - 2022  

Revenues

 2,523

 2,988

 3,313

 3,568

 3,784

 4,039

 4,243

 4,456

 4,680

 4,926

 5,181

 41,179

Outlays

 3,601

 3,573

 3,658

 3,836

 4,086

 4,259

 4,439

 4,714

 4,960

 5,205

 5,520

 44,251

Deficits

 -1,079

 -585

 -345

 -269

 -302

 -220

 -196

 -258

 -280

 -279

 -339

 -3,072

Debt Held by the Public

 11,242

 11,945

 12,401

 12,783

 13,188

 13,509

 13,801

 14,148

 14,512

 14,872

 15,291

 N/A

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

As a Percentage of Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

Revenues

 16.3

 18.8

 20.0

 20.2

 20.2

 20.5

 20.5

 20.6

 20.7

 20.9

 21.0

 20.4

Outlays

 23.2

 22.5

 22.1

 21.8

 21.8

 21.6

 21.5

 21.8

 21.9

 22.0

 22.4

 21.9

Deficits

 -7.0

 -3.7

 -2.1

 -1.5

 -1.6

 -1.1

 -0.9

 -1.2

 -1.2

 -1.2

 -1.4

 -1.5

Debt Held by the Public

 72.5

 75.1

 74.8

 72.6

 70.5

 68.5

 66.8

 65.5

 64.2

 63.0

 62.0

 N/A

Source: Congressional Budget Office: The Budget and Economic Outlook

 

 

Table 2: CBO Economic Assumptions

 

 Forecast

 Projected Annual Average

 

     2012    

      2013    

 2014-2017

 2018-2022

(percentage change, year to year)

Real GDP

 2.2

 1.0

 4.0

 2.5

Consumer Price Index

 1.7

 1.5

 1.8

 2.3

(calendar year average)

Unemployment Rate

 8.8

 9.1

 7.0

 5.4

Three Month Treasury Bills

 0.1

 0.1

 2.0

 3.7

10-Year Treasury Notes

 2.3

 2.5

 3.8

 5.0

To read the full CBO Budget and Economic Outlook: http://cbo.gov/doc.cfm?index=12699 

 

 

 

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